As mentioned in my DraftKings Projections post, I won’t be recording a video this weekend. However, you can see the chart below for how I’m planning on playing this Can-Am 500(k) slate from a strategy perspective. I fully expect pole sitter Kevin Harvick ($12,300) to absolutely dominate this race, and I plan on having him on a significant amount of my rosters (probably around 80%). However, there is a chance that something crazy happens to the #4 Ford, which will open up the door for other dominators. Chase Elliott ($9,900) is going to be a popular pick on Sunday, and would be the next most likely to dominate if something happens to Harvick. However, don’t forget about Kyle Busch ($11,600), who’s starting 6th and is a top 3 car at worst. I actually like being overweight on Rowdy this weekend compared to the field, but I don’t like putting him and Harvick in the same lineup. Good luck to everyone today!

DriverDK PriceStarting PositionProjected DraftKings PointsOwnership TargetNotes
Kevin Harvick$12,300 1120.50High Owned-Overweight
Chase Elliott$9,900 262.00Moderate ownership
Ricky Stenhouse Jr$7,600 304.60Fade
Ryan Blaney$9,100 429.60Fade
Alex Bowman$7,200 530.80UnderweightMay go over-owned due to domination here in 2016
Kyle Busch$11,600 667.30OverweightGreat pivot for non-Harvick lineups.
Erik Jones$8,300 745.60UnderweightSuper fast in practice, should be decently high-owned, but limited dominator potential.
Kyle Larson$10,400 851.50UnderweightShould put up dominator points but has had trouble finishing here.
Joey Logano$9,600 937.20Low Ownership
Denny Hamlin$8,600 1046.40OverweightLove the value. Great GPP play.
Paul Menard$7,300 1108.20Fade
Brad Keselowski$9,300 1263.60Overweight
Martin Truex Jr$11,000 1356.30Moderate ownershipDon't mind him in lineups without Harvick. Paired with Elliott most likely.
Kurt Busch$8,700 1443.20Overweight
Austin Dillon$7,900 1532.00Overweight
Clint Bowyer$8,900 1631.90Fade
Matt Kenseth$6,900 1731.60OverweightPivot off of Byron
Aric Almirola$8,100 1853.10High Owned
William Byron$6,500 1928.20UnderweightShould be high-owned, so I like being under to the field
Jimmie Johnson$8,400 2038.20UnderweightChalk play but I like being underweight
Jamie McMurray$7,500 2126.20OverweightWhen Larson is fast, McMurray usually is too. Great GPP play.
Ryan Newman$7,100 2235.90Moderate ownershipChalk play
Michael McDowell$5,800 2313.00Low Ownership
AJ Allmendinger$6,800 2424.00Low Ownership
Chris Buescher$6,700 2520.20Low Owned-Underweight
Daniel Suarez$7,800 2640.30Moderate ownershipPivot off of Almirola
Matt DiBenedetto$5,400 2717.40Low Ownership
Ty Dillon$5,600 2826.00High OwnedChalk play
Regan Smith$6,200 2922.20Low OwnershipOver-priced but should finish top 25
Bubba Wallace$6,400 3020.00Low OwnershipOver-priced but should finish top 25
David Ragan$6,000 3121.80OverweightHas finished 24th or better in 6 of last 7
Landon Cassill$5,100 3213.60Low Ownership
Ross Chastain$4,900 3316.60Moderate ownershipPunt play, should finish top 30
Cole Whitt$5,300 3416.80Moderate ownershipPunt play, should finish top 30
JJ Yeley$5,200 3516.60Low Ownership
Tanner Berryhill$4,600 3608.40Fade
Timmy Hill$4,700 3710.60Fade
D.J. Kennington$5,000 3817.20Low Ownership
Cody Ware$4,800 3913.40Fade
As someone who has always been obsessed with numbers, Fantasy NASCAR has been the perfect fit with me. I pride myself on the quality of my analysis for each race, and am glad that I have been able to help others along the way. I've been a serious Fantasy NASCAR player for over 10 years now, and I'm just getting started.