DraftKings Homestead Ford EcoBoost 400 NASCAR Projections

Jordan McAbeeDraftKings

These are my final thoughts and strategies to consider for Sunday afternoon’s Ford EcoBoost 400 at Homestead-Miami Speedway, as well as projected DraftKings FPTS for each driver. The chart below is explained but if you have any questions please don’t hesitate to contact me. 

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  • We have 400 miles to race on Sunday, which equals 267 laps around Homestead-Miami Speedway. That means there will be 66.75 FPTS for laps led up for grabs and probably around 120 FPTS for fastest laps (depending on how many cautions there are).
  • Tire wear plays a big part of the race at Homestead. Drivers that can save their tires for later in the run will have an advantage if the race stays green. Additionally, this opens up the door for strategy moves during the race.

Projected FPTS at Homestead

The following chart takes into account the very basics: the starting position and the projected finish of each driver. The projected finishes are averaged from five different ranking systems, using both mathematical equations as well as personal rankings. This chart also includes the average projected base + laps led DraftKings FPTS as well as the dollar per FPT. I don’t try to project fastest laps–that’s up to you. You can click the headers below to sort the chart by that attribute. By default it is sorted by average projected FPTS.

DriverDraftKings SalaryStarting PositionAvg. Projected FinishProj Laps LedAvg Proj Base + Laps Led FPTSDollar Per FPT
Kevin Harvick$9,700902.46968.9$141
Martin Truex Jr$11,100202.89366.5$167
Kyle Busch$10,500302.44451.0$206
Chase Elliott$9,4001807.8045.6$206
Denny Hamlin$8,900107.63345.5$196
Brad Keselowski$9,900505.2839.0$254
Joey Logano$9,2001905.0039.0$236
Jimmie Johnson$9,6002206.8238.5$249
Matt Kenseth$9,100411.0737.8$241
Dale Earnhardt Jr$7,8002411.4037.6$207
Kyle Larson$9,500708.61136.2$263
Kasey Kahne$7,9002719.2035.8$221
Erik Jones$8,1001408.6034.8$233
Ryan Blaney$8,7001115.0033.4$260
Clint Bowyer$8,5001610.6032.8$259
Jamie McMurray$7,7001314.8031.0$248
Kurt Busch$8,300816.8030.0$277
Daniel Suarez$7,0001017.8029.6$236
Austin Dillon$7,4001712.4028.6$259
Ty Dillon$6,9003213.0028.4$243
Ryan Newman$7,6002119.6027.4$277
AJ Allmendinger$6,3002615.4023.2$272
Aric Almirola$6,2002023.8023.2$267
Chris Buescher$6,7002923.6023.0$291
Michael McDowell$5,8002327.8022.2$261
Danica Patrick$6,5002527.6021.8$298
Matt DiBenedetto$5,4003123.6021.8$248
David Ragan$5,9003024.2020.8$284
Paul Menard$6,1001522.2020.6$296
Trevor Bayne$7,2001225.8017.2$419
Corey Lajoie$5,6003428.8016.4$341
Ricky Stenhouse Jr$7,500632.4015.6$481
Reed Sorenson$5,0003736.2013.0$385
Landon Cassill$5,2002835.2011.6$448
Cole Whitt$4,9003333.4010.6$462
Ray Black Jr$4,5003935.8009.8$459
Jeffrey Earnhardt$4,8003632.6009.2$522
David Starr$4,6003837.6008.8$523