DraftKings Martinsville 2 First Data 500 NASCAR Projections

Jordan McAbeeDraftKings

These are my final thoughts and strategies to consider for today’s First Data 500, as well as projected DraftKings FPTS for each driver. The chart below is explained but if you have any questions please don’t hesitate to contact me. 

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  • We had qualifying earlier today, which means there is limited time to set your DraftKings lineups (thanks to NASCAR for that schedule). Because of that, this is the only post for DraftKings that I will post this week–no Plays and Fades, no Pivots.
  • Dominator points should be your main target today. There are 500 laps scheduled for this Martinsville race, which means there are 125 FPTS for laps led and probably around 220 FPTS for fastest laps (depending on how many cautions there are).
  • There typically aren’t many surprises here at Martinsville; the drivers that have been good here in the past will be fast in today’s race at well. We usually see many of the same faces up front here, which is why Jimmie Johnson and Denny Hamlin have 15 wins here between the two.
  • Don’t forget that pit stalls this week were determined by last weekend’s qualifying results.

Projected FPTS at Martinsville 2

The following chart takes into account the very basics: the starting position and the projected finish of each driver. The projected finishes are averaged from five different ranking systems, using both mathematical equations as well as personal rankings. This chart also includes the average projected base + laps led DraftKings FPTS as well as the dollar per FPT. I don’t try to project fastest laps–that’s up to you. You can click the headers below to sort the chart by that attribute. By default it is sorted by average projected FPTS.

DriverDraftKings SalaryStarting PositionAvg. Projected FinishProj Laps LedAvg Proj Base + Laps Led FPTSDollar Per FPT
Kyle Busch$11,0001402.311182.4$134
Brad Keselowski$9,600705.28564.5$149
Jimmie Johnson$9,8002407.84262.9$156
Chase Elliott$9,400304.89262.4$151
Denny Hamlin$9,200604.23852.5$175
Martin Truex Jr$11,200204.24448.8$230
Matt Kenseth$9,3001708.3547.5$196
AJ Allmendinger$6,0002711.0046.2$130
Joey Logano$9,000109.05243.8$205
Kevin Harvick$10,2001310.7240.3$253
Dale Earnhardt Jr$8,0002114.7039.0$205
Ryan Newman$7,4001811.7037.6$197
Kyle Larson$10,400908.3335.8$291
Austin Dillon$7,5002516.7035.4$212
Jamie McMurray$8,5001612.3034.8$244
Clint Bowyer$8,800509.02133.5$263
Trevor Bayne$6,4003424.3031.6$203
David Ragan$5,7003124.3027.8$205
Daniel Suarez$7,2001515.5026.6$271
Chris Buescher$6,8002925.2026.2$260
Ty Dillon$7,0002623.0025.6$273
Kasey Kahne$7,9001216.0025.2$313
Erik Jones$8,600816.5022.8$377
Paul Menard$6,6001921.3021.4$308
Ricky Stenhouse Jr$7,7002221.7020.0$385
Danica Patrick$6,2002324.7019.4$320
Landon Cassill$5,5003329.3019.0$289
Ryan Blaney$8,200415.3518.1$454
Aric Almirola$5,9001019.5016.0$369
Michael McDowell$5,8002023.0016.0$363
Kurt Busch$8,3001119.8015.4$539
Corey Lajoie$5,3003632.7014.8$358
Matt DiBenedetto$5,6002828.2014.4$389
Hermie Sadler$4,4004034.8014.0$314
Gray Gaulding$4,6003533.7013.4$343
Cole Whitt$5,1003030.7013.2$386
Jeffrey Earnhardt$4,9003734.8011.8$415
Carl Long$4,7003935.7011.4$412
Reed Sorenson$5,0003234.3008.0$625
Kyle Weatherman$4,3003838.2006.4$672