DraftKings Charlotte 2 NASCAR Projections

Jordan McAbeeDraftKings

These are my final thoughts and strategies to consider for Sunday’s Bank of America 500, as well as projected DraftKings FPTS for each driver. The chart below is explained but if you have any questions please don’t hesitate to contact me. 

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  • We’re back at a 1.5-mile race track this week with Charlotte Motor Speedway. This is a 500-mile race we have scheduled, so that means it’s going to be 334 laps in length. Therefore, there will be 83.5 FPTS up for grabs for laps led and around 150 available for fastest laps (depending on the number of caution laps).
  • Because of inclement weather, there was no meaningful practice this weekend. The Cup Series teams got in one session on Friday, but all of those practice speeds were done in qualifying trim. Therefore, it’ll be best to analyze the races that have been ran at other 1.5-mile tracks this year.
  • The last three Bank of America 500s have been won by a driver starting inside the top 11.
  • Expect to see quite a few drivers lead here on Sunday. Typically, there are a couple of dominators in the Bank of America 500.
  • There is rain in the forecast for this weekend’s race, and we might be looking at a shortened race. If that is the case, place differential FPTS become more important than dominator points.

Projected FPTS at Charlotte 2

The following chart takes into account the very basics: the starting position and the projected finish of each driver. The projected finishes are averaged from five different ranking systems, using both mathematical equations as well as personal rankings. This chart also includes the average projected base + laps led DraftKings FPTS as well as the dollar per FPT. I don’t try to project fastest laps–that’s up to you. You can click the headers below to sort the chart by that attribute. By default it is sorted by average projected FPTS.

DriverDraftKings SalaryStarting PositionAvg. Projected FinishProj Laps LedAvg Proj Base + Laps Led FPTSDollar Per FPT
Kyle Busch$10,600403.08866.4$160
Martin Truex Jr$10,9001703.33963.8$171
Kyle Larson$10,4001003.85660.2$173
Kevin Harvick$10,200303.56256.7$180
Erik Jones$7,9003814.8052.4$151
Denny Hamlin$9,200105.34549.5$186
Jimmie Johnson$10,0002510.0248.7$205
Joey Logano$9,6002813.0044.0$218
Brad Keselowski$9,900607.01140.4$245
Matt Kenseth$8,600205.21639.2$219
Chase Elliott$9,400707.8938.5$244
Jamie McMurray$8,8001810.5038.0$232
Kurt Busch$8,300810.3234.1$243
Dale Earnhardt Jr$7,8002316.7032.6$239
Ryan Blaney$9,0001512.7032.2$280
Daniel Suarez$7,5001413.5030.8$244
Ryan Newman$7,1001114.8030.6$232
Ricky Stenhouse Jr$7,3002218.5028.8$253
Austin Dillon$7,7001315.2028.2$273
Trevor Bayne$7,0002620.7027.2$257
Aric Almirola$5,8002421.8026.0$223
Clint Bowyer$8,100512.0424.0$338
Ty Dillon$6,7002725.3020.2$332
Danica Patrick$6,1001219.7019.6$311
Kasey Kahne$8,000917.8019.4$412
AJ Allmendinger$6,9001922.7018.2$379
David Ragan$5,7003128.7018.2$313
Paul Menard$6,6002024.3018.0$367
Cole Whitt$5,5003229.7017.6$313
Corey Lajoie$5,1003933.2016.6$307
Landon Cassill$5,2003029.0016.0$325
Michael McDowell$5,9001623.3012.8$461
Matt DiBenedetto$5,4002930.8012.2$443
Chris Buescher$6,3002125.8011.4$553
Brett Moffitt$4,5004036.8011.2$402
Jeffrey Earnhardt$4,7003735.3011.0$427
Reed Sorenson$5,0003433.8010.4$481
Timmy Hill$4,6003635.0010.0$460
Gray Gaulding$4,8003535.8007.4$649
BJ McLeod$4,9003337.000.003.4$1,441