DraftKings NASCAR Strategy and Projections for Indianapolis

Jordan McAbeeDraftKings

These are my final thoughts and strategies to consider for Sunday afternoon’s race at Indianapolis Motor Speedway, as well as projected DraftKings FPTS for each driver. The chart below is explained but if you have any questions please don’t hesitate to contact me. 

  • NEW THIS WEEK: I’ve added in my projections for laps led in the chart below. This will make the chart to have more realistic projections for the drivers that qualify up front.
  • Expect Sunday’s Brickyard 400 to play out very similarly to the Pocono race last month. That means that restarts will be everything, and it’s going to be hard to pass once the field gets sprawled out. The car that ends up with the lead after a restart should continue to lead until they have to pit or there is a stoppage in action.
  • Jimmie Johnson will be starting from the rear of the field on Sunday due to a rear gear change. However, this was announced after qualifying, so his official starting position will still be 4th.

Projected Base FPTS at Indy

The following chart takes into account the very basics: the starting position and the projected finish of each driver. The projected finishes are averaged from five different ranking systems, using both mathematical equations as well as personal rankings. This chart also includes the average projected base + laps led DraftKings FPTS as well as the dollar per FPT. I don’t try to project fastest laps–that’s up to you. You can click the headers below to sort the chart by that attribute. By default it is sorted by average projected FPTS.

DriverDraftKings SalaryStarting PositionAvg. Projected FinishProj Laps LedAvg Proj Base + Laps Led FPTSDollar Per FPT
Kyle Larson$10,2002504.8660.9$172
Kyle Busch$10,500101.45257.6$235
Kevin Harvick$9,900203.24250.7$246
Denny Hamlin$9,500503.02549.9$218
Matt Kenseth$9,2001406.2546.9$202
Martin Truex Jr$10,600605.61141.6$273
AJ Allmendinger$6,9003922.4038.2$181
Clint Bowyer$8,6001812.0038.0$226
Chase Elliott$9,6001611.4137.5$258
Jimmie Johnson$10,000407.0535.3$294
Brad Keselowski$9,3001110.2034.6$269
Dale Earnhardt Jr$8,2001311.2034.6$237
Ryan Blaney$8,9001011.2332.4$282
Joey Logano$9,100709.4032.2$283
Kurt Busch$8,3001212.2031.6$263
Ricky Stenhouse Jr$7,0002117.0031.0$226
Erik Jones$8,500911.4230.7$281
Daniel Suarez$7,8001514.2030.6$255
Paul Menard$6,3001716.2028.6$220
Austin Dillon$7,5002018.2027.6$272
Chris Buescher$6,6002621.4027.2$243
Ty Dillon$6,8002822.4027.2$250
Aric Almirola$6,1002923.0027.0$226
Jamie McMurray$8,700310.6426.8$337
Ryan Newman$7,400813.4426.2$294
Kasey Kahne$7,9001919.6023.8$332
Trevor Bayne$7,1002222.0022.0$323
David Ragan$5,8003026.0022.0$264
Danica Patrick$6,5002322.8021.4$304
Michael McDowell$5,9002423.6020.8$284
Cole Whitt$5,6003428.6020.8$269
BJ McLeod$4,8004033.4017.2$279
Gray Gaulding$4,6003531.4016.2$284
Joey Gase$4,5003833.4015.2$296
Corey Lajoie$5,5003231.0014.0$393
Landon Cassill$5,3003130.6013.8$384
Timmy Hill$4,9003734.2012.6$389
Matt DiBenedetto$5,4002730.0011.0$491
Jeffrey Earnhardt$5,1003634.6010.8$472
JJ Yeley$4,7003334.2008.6$547