DraftKings NASCAR Strategy and Projections for Loudon

Jordan McAbeeDraftKings

These are my final thoughts and strategies to consider for Saturday afternoon’s race at New Hampshire Motor Speedway, as well as projected DraftKings FPTS for each driver. The chart below is explained but if you have any questions please don’t hesitate to contact me. 

  • How much does starting position really mean here at Loudon? Well, eight of the last nine races here have been won from a driver starting outside of the top 5, and three of the last four have been won by a driver starting outside of the top 10.
  • We typically see two dominating drivers here at Loudon. Both races last year had two drivers who led 100+ laps, and all four of those drivers started inside the top 10. That should be the case on Sunday as well.
  • The pole sitter has not won at Loudon since the 2011 season, although the driver starting P1 has finished 7th or better in five of the last six races here.
  • If you’re looking for similar tracks to New Hampshire Motor Speedway, check out the races we’ve ran at Phoenix, Martinsville, and Richmond this season. 

Projected Base FPTS at Loudon

The following chart takes into account the very basics: the starting position and the projected finish of each driver. The projected finishes are averaged from five different ranking systems, using both mathematical equations as well as personal rankings. This chart also includes the average projected base DraftKings FPTS–which doesn’t take into account fastest laps or laps led points–as well as the dollar per FPT. I don’t try to project fastest laps or laps led–that’s up to you. You can click the headers below to sort the chart by that attribute. By default it is sorted by the average projected finish of the drivers.

DriverDraftKings SalaryStarting PositionAvg. Projected FinishAvg Proj Base FPTSDollar Per FPT
Kyle Busch$10,500701.849.2$213
Martin Truex Jr$10,300103.239.8$259
Denny Hamlin$9,800804.642.8$229
Kevin Harvick$10,0001205.644.8$223
Chase Elliott$9,1001105.643.8$208
Kyle Larson$9,7003906.071.0$137
Matt Kenseth$9,300306.234.6$269
Brad Keselowski$9,9001008.437.2$266
Jimmie Johnson$9,600209.626.8$358
Joey Logano$8,8001310.037.0$238
Jamie McMurray$8,600410.427.2$316
Ryan Blaney$8,3001510.438.2$217
Erik Jones$7,900610.429.2$271
Dale Earnhardt Jr$8,0001812.636.8$217
Kurt Busch$8,100913.027.0$300
Daniel Suarez$7,5001414.828.4$264
Ryan Newman$7,3002415.437.2$196
Ricky Stenhouse Jr$7,4001715.829.4$252
Clint Bowyer$8,7001916.031.0$281
Kasey Kahne$7,600517.214.6$521
Austin Dillon$7,0002618.433.2$211
Aric Almirola$6,6002119.625.8$256
AJ Allmendinger$6,8002322.422.2$306
Trevor Bayne$6,9002722.625.8$267
Paul Menard$6,5002922.627.8$234
Ty Dillon$6,7002523.222.6$296
Danica Patrick$6,2003024.425.2$246
Chris Buescher$6,3002224.816.4$384
Michael McDowell$6,0002024.814.4$417
David Ragan$5,5003228.618.8$293
Cole Whitt$5,7003329.617.8$320
Landon Cassill$5,4002829.812.4$435
Matt DiBenedetto$5,0001629.800.4$12,500
Corey Lajoie$4,7003131.212.6$373
Reed Sorenson$5,2003533.013.0$400
Gray Gaulding$4,9003433.411.2$438
Ryan Sieg$4,5003635.409.2$489
Jeffrey Earnhardt$4,8003736.009.0$533
Josh Bilicki$4,6003836.010.0$460