DraftKings NASCAR Strategy and Projections for Daytona 2

Jordan McAbeeDraftKings

These are my final thoughts and strategies to consider for Saturday night’s race at Daytona International Speedway, as well as projected DraftKings FPTS for each driver. The chart below is explained but if you have any questions please don’t hesitate to contact me. 

  • Just like last week at Sonoma, we’re going to go through “leader cycles” here on Saturday night at Daytona. It’s rare for a driver to lead more than 40 or 50 laps at this track, so when we have 160 laps scheduled, we should see plenty of leaders.
  • Once again, place differential is king this weekend. Fastest laps are impossible to predict at Daytona, and pretty much every car in the field will at least get a few. And since there’s only 160 laps scheduled for Saturday night, we’re looking at only 40 FPTS for laps led. Focus on finish points and place differential points!
  • Watch the radar. There’s a possible storm that could affect this race. Remember, when Aric Almirola won the 2014 Coke Zero 400, that event was shortened by rain.
  • Don’t be afraid to go with some outside-of-the box picks this weekend. Literally anything and everything can happen at Daytona, and we could see anyone finish up front. For example, the top 5 in this year’s Daytona 500 were: Kurt Busch, Ryan Blaney, A.J. Allmendinger, Aric Almirola, and Paul Menard.
  • Starting position doesn’t mean a lot here, but keep in mind that the last four Coke Zero 400s that went the full distance were won by a driver that started 8th or better. 

Projected Base FPTS at Daytona 2

The following chart takes into account the very basics: the starting position and the projected finish of each driver. The projected finishes are averaged from five different ranking systems, using both mathematical equations as well as personal rankings. This chart also includes the average projected base DraftKings FPTS–which doesn’t take into account fastest laps or laps led points–as well as the dollar per FPT. I don’t try to project fastest laps or laps led–that’s up to you. You can click the headers below to sort the chart by that attribute. By default it is sorted by the average projected finish of the drivers.

DriverDraftKings SalaryStarting PositionAvg. Projected FinishAvg Proj Base FPTSDollar Per FPT
Denny Hamlin$9,9001803.257.4$172
Kyle Busch$9,6001603.853.0$181
Kevin Harvick$9,500503.842.0$226
Kurt Busch$9,1001506.246.6$195
Brad Keselowski$10,400306.635.0$297
Joey Logano$10,000706.838.0$263
Dale Earnhardt Jr$10,300108.029.6$348
Martin Truex Jr$9,7002508.651.8$187
Austin Dillon$7,9001909.045.0$176
Kyle Larson$9,2002109.446.2$199
Clint Bowyer$8,8001109.635.8$246
Ryan Blaney$8,500910.232.6$261
Chase Elliott$8,600212.421.2$406
Jamie McMurray$8,100813.225.6$316
Jimmie Johnson$9,0001213.828.4$317
Trevor Bayne$7,7001414.030.0$257
Ryan Newman$6,7002215.036.0$186
Ricky Stenhouse Jr$8,300615.219.6$423
Kasey Kahne$7,800416.016.0$488
Michael McDowell$6,2002316.035.0$177
Matt Kenseth$8,7001316.623.8$366
Paul Menard$7,3002417.832.4$225
Daniel Suarez$7,0002020.223.6$297
AJ Allmendinger$6,5002720.629.8$218
Darrell Wallace Jr$6,9003122.031.0$223
Danica Patrick$5,8001022.209.6$604
Erik Jones$7,4001723.613.8$536
David Ragan$5,2003024.425.2$206
Matt DiBenedetto$5,3002824.622.8$232
Ty Dillon$6,4003425.227.6$232
Elliott Sadler$6,3003325.426.2$240
Chris Buescher$5,9002925.422.2$266
Cole Whitt$5,1003525.827.4$186
Landon Cassill$5,4002627.215.6$346
Ryan Sieg$5,0003827.227.6$181
Brendan Gaughan$4,9003229.616.8$292
Corey Lajoie$4,8003630.419.2$250
Jeffrey Earnhardt$4,7003932.019.0$247
D.J. Kennington$4,6004032.219.6$235
Reed Sorenson$4,5003732.615.8$285